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#ETH突破2700美元# Ethereum Soars: Technical Upgrades + Short Squeeze Market + Whale Accumulation Threefold Engine
1. The Pectra upgrade has been implemented, strengthening technical barriers. On May 7th, Ethereum successfully implemented the Pectra upgrade, introducing account abstraction (EIP-7702), raising staking limits, and other key technologies, significantly reducing Gas fees and enhancing network flexibility. This upgrade is seen as a crucial measure to counter competing public chains like Solana, directly stimulating developer and investor confidence.
2. The futures market "short squeeze" ignites short-term market trends. Starting from May 8, a large-scale liquidation of short positions occurred in the Ethereum futures market, with a cumulative liquidation amount reaching 438 million USD, far exceeding the long liquidation amount (211 million USD). The price surge forced shorts to close their positions, creating an upward spiral. During the same period, the open interest of Ethereum contracts surged by 25% (from 21.28 billion to 26.77 billion USD), and the funding rate for perpetual contracts rose to 0.15%, indicating that longs dominate the market.
3. Whale addresses strategically increased their holdings. On-chain data shows that whales holding over 10,000 ETH have continuously accumulated since late April, with their holdings rising to the highest level since March 2025 (over 40.75 million ETH). Whale movements typically indicate large investors' recognition of medium to long-term value, further solidifying bullish market expectations.
Macro Drivers: Inflation Cooling and Trade Easing Boost Risk Assets 1. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Heat Up April US CPI Year-on-Year Growth of 2.3% (Previous Value 2.8%), Close to Fed's 2% Target, Core CPI Increased Only 0.2% Month-on-Month, Below Expectations. After the Data Release, Market Bets on a 48.9% Probability of a Rate Cut in September, and Expectations for Liquidity Easing Stimulate Capital Inflow into the Crypto Market.
2. Easing global trade tensions: On May 8, the US and UK reached a tariff agreement, reducing the tariff on UK car exports to the US from 27.5% to 10%, and eliminating steel tariffs; the resumption of trade negotiations between China and the US reduces the risk of a "trade war." The dismantling of trade barriers creates a favorable environment for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.
3. The traditional financial markets are linked, with the Nasdaq index and the S&P 500 index rising by 1.6% and 0.7% respectively, while tech stocks and crypto assets strengthen in sync. Greg Magadini, Head of Derivatives at Amberdata, pointed out: "The correlation between ETH and U.S. stocks has strengthened. If risk assets continue to rebound, Ethereum is expected to break through the resistance level of $2800."
Market Concerns: High-Level Volatility and Technical Risks
1. The options market hides signals of a correction. Despite the surge in spot prices, the implied volatility of Ethereum options remains low, indicating that the market is unprepared for a short-term spike. According to Deribit data, $2800 is a key gamma resistance level, and if it fails to break effectively, profit-taking may occur.
2. The differentiated institutional funds show that the capital-raising ability of Bitcoin ETFs far exceeds that of other assets (Ethereum ETF had an inflow of only 1.5 million USD), and competing public chains like Solana and Sui are diverting funds (Sui YTD inflow of 84 million USD), which may exacerbate market volatility.
3. Regulatory and geopolitical variables, Trump's "digital gold strategy" remains uncertain, the SEC's review of Ethereum's security attributes has not yet concluded, and if policy winds change abruptly, the market may face significant adjustments.
Conclusion: The second half of the bull market has begun, seeking structural opportunities amidst volatility. This round of explosive growth in the cryptocurrency market is not only a milestone in the institutionalization process of Bitcoin ETFs but also a result of the resonance between the Ethereum technical ecosystem and macro dividends.
In the short term, the market needs to digest the gains and focus on the key resistance at $2800.
In the medium to long term, institutional capital inflows, technological upgrades, and interest rate cuts may jointly support the continuation of the bull market.
Investors should pay attention to the dynamics of ETH/BTC, spot ETF developments, the Federal Reserve's policy path, and the progress of the Layer 2 ecosystem, seizing structural opportunities amidst volatility. #PFVS Launchpad 认购开启#