Bitcoin Supply Locked by Holders Hits 80%. Is $150K Next?

Long-term holders now control over 80% of all Bitcoin, recreating past market conditions that preceded sharp upward price movements.

Similar supply levels previously led to $30K and $50K rallies, with Bitcoin jumping from $43K to $73K, and $58K to projected highs.

Bitcoin treasury holdings are increasing, further tightening supply and building pressure that could drive prices beyond $150,000.

Bitcoin long-term holders now control over 80% of the total supply, signaling a potential bullish impulse. This percentage has only been surpassed twice before — each followed by major price rallies.

Historical Patterns Signal Potential Upside

According to CrediBULL Crypto, the last two instances when Bitcoin supply in long-term holders’ hands exceeded 80% were followed by aggressive price moves. The first occurred when Bitcoin was trading at $43,000. That phase led to a sharp $30,000 jump to $73,000. The second instance took place around the $58,000 mark. Following that, Bitcoin surged by $50,000, crossing $105,000 in simulated projection models.

This pattern reveals that when most of the circulating Bitcoin is held tightly, the market reacts strongly to fresh demand. Such behavior has previously resulted in rapid price appreciation due to a constrained supply environment. This dynamic is now back in play.

Bitcoin’s Supply Tightening Once Again

The tweet emphasizes that Bitcoin’s excess supply has now returned to long-term holders, often referred to as "diamond hands." These are participants known for holding their coins regardless of short-term volatility. With more than 80% of all Bitcoin now off the market and in firm hands, the potential for a new price impulse grows stronger.

In parallel, Bitcoin treasury-holding companies are also continuing to accumulate. Their growing positions reduce the liquid supply even further. This environment creates the conditions for a possible supply squeeze, where even small demand sparks price increases.

Analyst Predicts $150K+ in the Next Bullish Impulse

CrediBULL Crypto suggests the next move could be larger than previous ones, estimating an upside of over $50,000. The market’s prior moves following similar supply patterns suggest this estimate may not be speculative. Instead, it reflects historical performance under comparable conditions.

With supply tightening and demand potential increasing, the analyst believes Bitcoin is poised for a major move. A price target of $150,000 or higher is not just a forecast but a scenario built on supply behavior and market structure. The conditions for this breakout, based on historical precedence, appear to be aligning once again.

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