BTC 15 minutes Market Trend Analysis Report

- **Current Price**: 103438.20 USDT
- **24h Change**: -1.175%
- **Main Support Levels**: 103090.00USDT (S3), 103179.30USDT (S2), 103305.10USDT (S1)
- **Main Resistance Levels**: 103520.20USDT (R1), 103609.50USDT (R2), 103735.30USDT (R3)
- **Current Trend**: **Consolidating Bullish** (short-term rebound and repair, but has not yet broken through key resistance)
##### **Technical Indicators Comprehensive**
1. **Moving Average System**:
- MA5 (103387.80) has crossed above MA10 (103368.23), forming a short-term bullish alignment, but MA20 (103409.84) is still suppressing the price, so attention should be paid to whether it can hold above MA20.
- **Conclusion**: Short-term bullish signal, but needs to break through MA20 to confirm the trend.

2. **MACD**：
- DIF (-2.53) crosses above DEA (-10.62), the histogram turns red (8.09), indicating a strengthening of short-term momentum.
- **Conclusion**: **Golden Cross**, short-term bullish signal.

3. **BOLL**：
- The price is near the middle track (103409.85), with the upper track (103564.29) as key resistance and the lower track (103255.42) as support.
- %B (0.57%) shows that the price is above the middle band, but not overbought.
- **Conclusion**: Within the oscillation range, breaking the upper boundary can confirm the bullish trend.

4. **RSI**：
- RSI6 (58.25) is neutral to strong, not overbought; RSI14 (52.15) and RSI24 (47.92) indicate that market sentiment is gradually warming up.
- **Conclusion**: Neutral to bullish, no overbought risk.

5. **KDJ**：
- K (56.69) and D (41.71) have formed a golden cross, J (86.64) has entered the overbought zone, and caution is needed for a short-term pullback.
- **Conclusion**: **Golden Cross**, but the J value is high and caution is needed.

##### **Fund and Volume-Price Analysis**
1. **Funding Rate**: 0.00236900% (Neutral), no extreme bullish or bearish sentiment.
2. **Volume Change**:
- Recent K-line shows a volume rebound (e.g., during the period of 1750403700000), but then a decrease in volume and a pullback, with an average volume-price relationship.
- Key resistance level (103520-103735) needs to be broken with increased volume.
3. **Capital Flow Data**:
- Short-term (5m, 15m) contract net inflow (9.26 million, 6.14 million USDT), but significant net outflow in the medium to long term (4H, 24H), indicating a divergence in funds.
- Spot funds continue to flow out, and we need to be wary of selling pressure.

#### Analysis Result
- **Direction**: **Cautiously Long** (short-term rebound momentum exists, but must break through key resistance to confirm).
- **Timing of Entry**:
- Aggressor: Current price (103438) light long position, stop loss at 103250.
- Steady investors: Wait for a breakout above 103520 (R1) and then confirm the entry on a pullback.
- **Stop Loss Setting**: 3% (below 103090, or below MA5).
- **Target Price**:
- First target 103735 (R3, +0.3%), second target 104000 (+0.6%).
- If it breaks out with volume above 104000, it can be seen up to 104500 (+1%).
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!
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