At 2:00 AM tonight, global financial markets will focus on the Federal Reserve's release of the minutes from the June meeting. These minutes are likely to reveal the intense "hawk-dove debate" within the Federal Reserve, providing key clues for the future direction of monetary policy. From recent economic data, the U.S. economy shows a complex situation. The job market remains strong, but wage growth is showing signs of slowing. Inflation data is also fluctuating, with core inflation remaining stubbornly high in some areas while cooling in others. This inconsistency in economic data is one of the important factors leading to divisions within the Federal Reserve. The minutes may also involve differences in the assessment of the economic outlook. Hawkish officials may be more optimistic about economic growth prospects, believing that even with tightening policies, the economy can maintain stable growth; dovish officials may take a more cautious view of the economic outlook, worrying that potential risks could have a significant impact on economic growth.

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Yesterday, Trump postponed the deadline for tariffs to August 1. The delay in tariffs is not a "turning point," but merely a pause in the "countdown." When this 30-day buffer period runs out, the inevitable shoe will drop — the only difference is whether it will hurt American businesses or every ordinary person holding a wallet. The easing of trade tensions has led to the market remaining in a sideways phase; in recent days, the price movement has been operating within the BOLL track without breaking out in a significant direction. Last night, in the live broadcast room, the lowest price of Bitcoin above 109000 only dipped to around 108000 before bouncing back again. The lows of Bitcoin are continuously rising, while the highs are continuously falling, indicating that a major one-sided movement is imminent. Looking at the 4-hour level, the moving averages are flattening out, MACD doesn't show much strength, and RSI has been hovering below 50, indicating weakness. If it can't break through the resistance zone of 109000-109500, it will likely need to retest 108000. If 108000 can't hold either, it may need to find support near 107000.

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The Ethereum market is similarly experiencing fluctuations, with the price dipping from a high point of 2626 to a low point of 2589 before stopping and subsequently starting to rebound, currently reaching a high of 2647. Based on the current market conditions, the four-hour level shows that the market continues to consolidate around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with both bulls and bears failing to move out of a larger range. The overall market is in a notably tense state, with the operating space confined within a relatively narrow low volatility range, and trading volume showing a continuous shrinkage trend. From a one-hour perspective, after experiencing three consecutive bearish candles, the market provided three consecutive bullish rebounds, continuously exhibiting a tug-of-war correction characteristic. Prices are repeatedly tested around key levels, but they have not been able to gather sufficient strength for an effective breakthrough. Therefore, in the evening session, we will continue to maintain the strategy of selling high and buying low.