Polymarket has done it again! Predicted the presidential inauguration with an accuracy of 74%, successfully predicting that Trump would not mention his own meme coin.

Polymarket defeated many traditional prediction methods in last year's US election and successfully predicted that Trump would be elected president. Trump's every move during this inauguration ceremony also became the focus of the community. After statistical analysis, it can be found that Polymarket had a success rate of up to 74% in predicting Trump's speech content in this event. On the other hand, although many crypto asset communities believed that Trump would mention Bitcoin or even Trump's own meme coin, as with the US election, cryptocurrency was not a major issue.

Polymarket predicts accuracy as high as 74%

The author has compiled the predictions of Polymarket on Trump's inaugural speech, and the following are excerpts of predictions related to the currency circle and technology:

Mention Crypto/$BTC, expect 40%, result: No

Mentioning $Doge/Dogecoin, expected 13%, result: No

When it comes to Elon Musk, the expected 40%, the result: No.

When it comes to AI/Artificial Intelligence, 55% expect, result: no.

When it comes to TikTok, the expected result is 19%, but the actual result is negative.

Overall, out of 23 predictions, 17 were successful, with a success rate of approximately 74%. Using the odds before the speech as a reference, a simple 50% is taken as the threshold. The prediction data from Mandate fluctuates too frequently, so it is not included in the statistics.

Many people in the currency circle are waiting eagerly for Trump's inauguration speech to bring some benefits to the currency circle. About 40% of the predictions on the prediction website Polymarket, which is mainly focused on the currency circle, predict that Trump will mention Crypto or Bitcoin. However, just like the US election, although Trump is friendly to encryption, Cryptocurrency is still a minor issue compared to national issues, and Trump did not mention related issues in his inauguration speech. Another prediction is whether Trump will mention his own meme coin, and the answer is obviously no.

Polymarket predicts only a 28% chance of signing the Cryptocurrency Executive Order in the first week

After the inauguration speech, let's take a look at the current platform's predictions for Trump's behavior.

Will Trump establish a BTC reserve within the first 100 days in office? Expectation: 34%.

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his first week? 62% choose 25-49.

Will Trump's children launch tokens before Friday? Only 8% think so.

Many are also anticipating Trump to sign a Cryptocurrency executive order in the first week, with only a 28% chance predicted.

This article Polymarket has made a great contribution again! The accuracy of predicting the inauguration ceremony of the White House is as high as 74%, successfully predicting that Trump will not mention his own meme coin. It first appeared in ChainNews ABMedia.