Price analysis of Solana, Aave, and XRP

The crypto market at this moment seems relatively still, but SOL (Solana), Aave, and XRP could offer some surprises.

Analysis of the crypto Solana, Aave, and XRP

The thing that immediately stands out when analyzing the price of SOL, the native cryptocurrency of Solana, is that it is currently almost half of the all-time high recorded only in January.

How is it possible that in just a few months the price has halved?

It is necessary to make two considerations, one in the medium term and one in the long period

In the medium term, it stands out that while on one hand it is true that the price has halved in a few months compared to the highs, it has returned to pre-bubble levels

Or, better, the current price level of about $150 is perfectly in line with that of the end of October 2024, prior to Trump’s electoral victory

In other words, the so-called Trump-trade started with Solana right around $150, and with a bull run in November that brought it to $250 in less than two weeks

After an initial small correction, in January it rose again, reaching nearly $300

It is not a coincidence that the all-time high was reached the day after Trump’s announcement of having launched his own memecoin on Solana

In fact, this evident mini-bubble has been primarily fueled by the memecoin market, which for almost two years now has been moving from Ethereum to Solana, and with Trump’s announcement in January, it has almost entirely shifted to the latter blockchain, at least regarding the major trading volumes in the markets.

The fact is that, starting already from February, the boom of memecoins began to dissolve, and between March and April, it deflated almost completely

It should be remembered, however, that the memecoin market often behaves in this way, so sooner or later other booms are to be expected, followed by just as many busts

The curious thing is that in April 2025 the price of Solana dropped below the lows of October 2024, but it then took only two weeks to recover to $150 after the bottom. The current level therefore seems the most solid, and it is a level that, between bull and bear, has held since April 2024

The trend of the price of Aave

A different discussion is the one concerning Aave, also because it is not a native cryptocurrency but a token on Ethereum

The trend of the prezzo di Aave was also very positively affected by the Trump-trade, and in this case, that mini-bubble then burst in 2025

In fact, at the end of October 2024, it was around $170, while in December it then reached a local maximum peak over $380.

With the burst of the mini-bubble, it even dropped to $125 in April, but at that point, it bounced back

It seems that starting from May it followed a trend in some ways similar to that of Bitcoin, or Ethereum, while Solana instead followed another trend, much weaker.

In fact, the price of Aave from $125 in April had already returned in May to the levels of October, and in June it rose further until it returned to just above $300.

In reality, the exception is probably not Aave, which followed Bitcoin, but Solana, which did not follow it. On the other hand, the boom of Solana was largely due to memecoins, whose market essentially came to a halt in April. Aave, on the other hand, follows other dynamics

It is worth noting, however, that the all-time highs of Aave ($666 in May 2021) are still very far away (-55%), and this suggests that in the event of an altseason, it could have further growth potential

The price performance of XRP

XRP is one of the cryptos with the least volatile trend in the long term

In the short term, it can register peaks of volatility, while already in the medium term, the average volatility seems to reduce a bit. In the long term, however, it turns out to be really less pronounced compared to that of the other main criptovalute.

For example, with Trump’s electoral victory and the consequent change in the SEC’s attitude towards cryptocurrencies, the price of XRP at the end of 2024 suddenly moved from $0.5 to $2.7, but from mid-December onwards it has been limited to lateralizing around the current $2.3, with brief peaks below $2 or above $3.

Note that unlike in 2021, during the last major bull run, it started from less than $0.3 and ended up rising above $1.5, only to then plummet back to $0.3 during the subsequent bear-market.

However, at that time, the sword of Damocles of the SEC lawsuit was hanging over his head, which was partially resolved in 2024 and completely only in this 2025

It is true that the historical peak of $3.8 in January 2018 is still distant (-40%), but the end of 2017 / beginning of 2018 for the price of XRP was a mega-bubble that is not advisable to use as a reference point for analyses